Oliver's insights

Current | Archive
18 October 2017

Where are we in the global investment cycle and what's the risk of a 1987 style crash?
Key points - There is still little sign of the sort of excesses that precede major economic downturns and major bear markets suggesting that (although US shares are overdue a decent correction) we are still a fair way from the top in the investment cycle. Key to watch will be rising inflation and aggressive monetary tightening. - The current environment around share markets is very different to 1987. IntroductionThe month of October often creates apprehension amongst investors given its historic track record with the 1929 and 1987 share market crashes. And it was in October 2007 that US shares peaked ahead of 50% plus falls (in most share markets) through the Global Financial Cri
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About Oliver's Insights

Oliver's Insights is a regular update from Dr Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist, AMP Capital.

In Oliver's Insights, Dr Shane Oliver explores the latest issues regarding financial markets and the economy.


Who is Dr Shane Oliver?

Dr Shane Oliver joined AMP in 1984 as a research officer and in 1994 became AMP's Chief Economist. He now plays a major role in determining AMP Capital's investment strategy and asset allocation. He also provides economic forecasts and analysis to the asset class portfolio managers. As chief economist, he maintains a media profile for AMP Capital on economic and investment market issues.


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